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Why Chinese Automakers Are Racing to Copy Tesla's Optimus Bet

Chinese automakers are aggressively entering the humanoid robot market, following Tesla's lead with massive funding rounds and development programs. Xpeng's robotics unit raised over $900 million in August at a valuation exceeding $6.3 billion, marking the largest single-round private financing in China's "embodied AI" industry. Meanwhile, Chery Automobile is preparing its AiMOGA robotics subsidiary for an IPO, and competitors including BYD, Changan, GAC, Li Auto, SAIC, and Seres are all developing humanoid robots.

Why Are Chinese Automakers Suddenly Focused on Robots?

The answer is simple: profit margins in electric vehicles are collapsing. According to Michael Dunne, CEO of advisory firm Dunne Insights, Xpeng founder He Xiaopeng sees "razor-thin profit in cars on the near horizon. Robots look much more promising". This shift reflects a broader industry realization that manufacturing humanoid robots could generate far higher returns than selling vehicles in an increasingly competitive market.

Xpeng's commitment goes beyond corporate strategy. Founder He Xiaopeng and co-president Brian Gu personally invested approximately $100 million into the recent fundraising round, signaling deep confidence in the robotics division. The company is betting on Iron, a humanoid robot with realistic human proportions designed for commercial deployment in factories and service industries.

What Advantage Do Chinese Automakers Actually Have?

Chinese automakers bring a critical asset to the robotics race: manufacturing expertise and supply chain infrastructure. "They have all the hardware to get the job done," Dunne noted. However, this hardware advantage masks a significant vulnerability. The real competition isn't about building robot bodies; it's about the artificial intelligence that controls them.

"Question is if they can catch Tesla on the AI side of the equation," Dunne explained. This distinction matters enormously. While Chinese automakers can leverage decades of manufacturing experience, Tesla and other Western competitors have invested heavily in the machine learning systems that enable robots to learn complex tasks. Researchers now believe that AI techniques behind large language models (LLMs), which are neural networks trained on vast amounts of text data, can make robots capable of learning nearly any task.

How to Understand the Global Robot Competition

  • Chinese Strategy: Xpeng, BYD, Chery, and other automakers are leveraging existing manufacturing capabilities and supply chains to build robot hardware at scale, while racing to develop competitive AI systems.
  • Western Competition: Tesla, Boston Dynamics (owned by Hyundai), Figure AI, and Agility Robotics are prioritizing AI development and commercial deployment, with plans to bring robots into factories and service roles by 2028.
  • The AI Bottleneck: Success depends less on building a convincing robot body and more on creating AI systems that can adapt to unpredictable real-world tasks without constant human supervision.

The competitive landscape extends beyond China and Tesla. Hyundai plans to bring Boston Dynamics' Atlas humanoid robot to its Georgia factory this year, with eventual deployment for tasks like parts sequencing by 2028. The Korean automaker partnered with Google's AI research lab DeepMind to accelerate Atlas development and is opening a U.S. facility called a Robot Metaplant Application Center to teach robots how to map movements like lifts and turns. Even Intel-owned Mobileye acquired humanoid robot startup Mentee Robotics for $900 million earlier this year.

What's Really at Stake in the Robot Race?

The economic incentive driving this competition is staggering. Citizens Bank estimates that Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot could eventually target roughly $1.7 trillion of U.S. wages. That figure doesn't represent Tesla's potential revenue; rather, it illustrates the scale of labor that robots could eventually replace. If a robot can work around the clock, requires no benefits, and performs repetitive tasks consistently, its value transcends simple worker replacement. It fundamentally changes the economics of entire operations.

Meta Platforms is already testing this premise. The company is experimenting with robots that can swap networking cables, power-cycle servers, reseat hardware, and perform other data center tasks traditionally handled by technicians. Meta is testing equipment from Watney Robotics, Kinova, and ABB at facilities including Altoona, Iowa, and New Albany, Ohio. One Meta data center worker told WIRED that a successful cable-swapping robot could eventually replace up to 80 percent of some technicians' workloads.

This shift from white-collar software automation to physical labor automation represents a fundamental change in how companies view AI investment. U.S. technology companies eliminated nearly 140,000 jobs in 2026, according to Financial Times analysis, even as AI spending reached unprecedented levels. Amazon, Oracle, Meta, and Microsoft accounted for almost 50,000 of those reductions. While not every layoff stems from AI, the direction is unmistakable: automation is moving from computer screens into the physical world.

For investors and workers alike, the implications are profound. The biggest gains from AI may not come from selling AI products or services. Instead, they may come from using AI to require fewer humans to produce the same output, creating what analysts describe as "a much bigger productivity story. And, potentially, a much bigger margin story". Chinese automakers understand this calculus, which explains why Xpeng, BYD, and their competitors are willing to invest billions in robotics despite their current disadvantage in AI development. They're betting that manufacturing scale and speed can eventually close the gap with Western competitors, and that the market for humanoid robots will be large enough for multiple winners.